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US recession risk indicators

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Annualized average adjusted return (AAAR) for major asset classes since Q1 1973

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Inflation pressures - whether through CPI or money supply - can provide support for gold

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Actively managed mutual funds with top-quartile returns

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Median existing home prices since 1999

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Month's supply of existing homes since 1999

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Total single-family home sales since 1975

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Total existing home sales since 1999

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NAHB household market index remains elevated but falling since 1986

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Median new home prices vs. median family income since 1982

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