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Economy

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US Equity Returns Following Sharp Downturns

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US Treasury 10-Year bond yields

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Breadth of international market opportunity

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Does not look like future bond returns will help elevate portfolio returns

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U.S./ Europe Relative Strength (total returns)

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Do earnings and dividends revert back to the mean?

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Shiller P/E ratio projects a 6.7% 10-year return vs. the average of 10.9%

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Equities have build wealth despite crises - S&P500 1970-2019

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Recent valuation levels paint grim outlook for future equity returns in the long run

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S&P500 annual peak-to-trough pullbacks (1929-2019)

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